5 tips to help your bracket picks

LITTLE ROCK, Ark. (KTHV) -- For those of you March Madness warriors, here are five facts that could keep you from making the wrong picks on your NCAA tournament bracket.

Check out more on this list from The Oregonian: March Madness 2014: 5 facts that could save your bracket

1. Cinderella usually goes home early - After last season's wacky tournament, expect to see more upsets on the brackets in your pool this year. So, you may want to go in the opposite direction. Only about 16-percent of higher-seeded teams lose in the NCAA. But if you must pick some upsets, stick with the 11th or 12th seed.

2. Seeds that have never been sown - The following seeds have never been to a Final Four: 10, 12, 13, 14, 15 and 16. An 11th seed has made the Final Four three times, most recently Virginia Commonwealth in 2011. Among the top eight seeds, the only seeds that have not won a national championship are fifth and seventh.

3. Watch your step onto the bandwagon - There are a number of experts jumping on Number 4 seeds Michigan State and Louisville to win it all. History says those experts are wrong. Since 2000, a Number 1 seed has won the national title 10 times, a Number 3 seed three times and a Number 2 seed once. No fourth seed has won it all since Arizona in 1997.

4. Key injuries - Don't forget to factor in injuries when filling out your bracket. As you probably already know, Kansas will start tournament play without their 7-footer. And it has already affected BYU and Colorado. Just keep in mind that injuries happen.

5. Good follows bad - If you add the combined seeds for the 2013 Final Four, you get 18. Since 1985, that total exceeded 12 six-times: in 2011, 2010, 2006, 2000, 1992 and 1986. In all but one of those cases, at least two top seeds were in the Final Four the following year.


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