Philadelphia, PA (Sports Network) -
OUTLOOK: Seven Missouri Valley Conference teams reached the postseason in
2011-12, tying the league mark set in 2009. Wichita State and Creighton went
to the NCAA Tournament and both were ranked in the top-20 at the end of the
season, the first time the MVC has seen that happen since 1974-75. Can they do
it again? The Shockers must replace a lot of talent from last year's squad,
while Creighton will once again turn to Doug McDermott, the conference's first
All-America first-team selection since Hersey Hawkins (Bradley) in 1988.
In all, eight of the 10 teams in the conference return at least three
starters. Wichita State and Indiana State are the exceptions. Illinois State,
coming off its fourth NIT trip in the past five years, has the look of a
strong contender. Former player Dan Muller takes over for Tim Jankovich as the
head coach there. UNI could also finish near the top of the conference
standings after earning its first-ever NIT bid and winning a first-round game.
Drake, Evansville and Indiana State are also coming off postseason appearances
and all figure to be in the mix once again. Missouri State, Bradley and
Southern Illinois are facing rebuilding jobs. The new coach at SIU is Barry
Hinson, who will try to resurrect the Salukis following an 8-23 season. Hinson
returns to the MVC after coaching at Missouri State from 1999-2008.
CONFERENCE CHAMPION: Creighton
PREDICTED ORDER OF FINISH: 1. Creighton, 2. Illinois State, 3. Northern Iowa,
4. Wichita State, 5. Evansville, 6. Drake, 7. Indiana State, 8. Missouri
State, 9. Bradley, 10. Southern Illinois
TEAM BY TEAM ANALYSIS:
CREIGHTON: The Bluejays found their way back to the NCAA Tournament for the
first time since 2007 and finished the 2011-12 campaign ranked No. 19 in the
country. In fact, they advanced all the way to the third round of The Big
Dance and appear primed for another postseason run this season. The team
returns four of five starters and 10 letterwinners in all. All eyes will once
again be on the McDermott's; third-year coach Greg and his son, consensus All-
American Doug. Is there any room for the latter McDermott to improve in his
junior season after averaging 22.9 points and 8.2 rebounds? After all, he shot
a ridiculous 60.1 percent from the floor and 48.6 percent from 3-point range.
Nobody in the country took more shots than McDermott, who set the school's
scoring record as a sophomore. With Antoine Young no longer around to run the
point, Grant Gibbs or sophomore Austin Chatman will need to step forward and
facilitate the offense. Sharpshooting freshman Isaiah Zierden could add
another potent element to the backcourt if he proves a quick study.
ILLINOIS STATE: Dan Muller, who played for the Redbirds in the mid-90s and
previously served as an assistant at Vanderbilt, inherits a team with MVC
title hopes. The players will no doubt be hungry to capture that hardware
after last year's painful overtime loss to Creighton in the MVC Tournament
title tilt, which cost the Redbirds a spot in the NCAA Tournament. However,
there are plenty of reasons for optimism entering the 2012-13 campaign, as
four of five starters return. However, Nic Moore, who started at point guard
last year as a freshman, decided to follow former coach Jankovich to SMU.
Muller scrambled to sign Canadian Kaza Keane to try and fill that void.
Outside of Moore, the Redbirds return every key contributor from last season.
Heading up the roster is second-team All-MVC pick Jackie Carmichael (13.9 ppg,
9.7 rpg), the team's leading scorer and rebounder. Carmichael recorded 15
double-doubles last season but struggled a bit with turnovers, an area he must
improve. Jon Ekey, who averaged 9.0 points and nearly five rebounds while
shooting 40.7 percent from the perimeter last year as a freshman, will also
have a big role.
NORTHERN IOWA: The Panthers welcome back 12 of 13 players from last year's
20-win team, and they could be ready to take a big step forward in 2012-13.
Four of five starters return, including MVC Freshman of the Year Seth Tuttle,
MVC All-Freshman team selection Deon Mitchell, and MVC Honorable Mention
selection Anthony James. Only one senior needs to be replaced, as UNI's roster
features a nice mix of veterans and underclassmen. James, who hit a buzzer-
beating 3-pointer against nationally-ranked Creighton last winter, led the
team in scoring with 12.5 ppg. However, he was also the only double-digit
scorer for the Panthers, who boasted the MVC's top scoring defense (61.9 ppg
allowed). Tuttle was next in line with 9.6 points and a team-best 5.6 rebounds
per tilt, while Mitchell averaged 7.0 ppg. Coach Ben Jacobson is counting on
those two youngsters to really step up and give the offense a boost. A tough
early-season schedule will either be a blessing or a curse.
WICHITA STATE: After winning the MVC regular-season title last spring and
reaching the Big Dance for the first time since 2006, the Shockers were hit
hard by graduation. Another 27-win season and a No. 5 seed in the NCAA
Tournament is unlikely, although the roster still boasts enough talent to make
some waves in the MVC standings. Seniors Carl Hall and Demetric Williams will
provide a much-needed steadying presence. Hall, last season's MVC Newcomer of
the Year, averaged 8.5 points and 5.0 rebounds, while Williams (5.5 ppg)
logged 24 minutes per game. However, Hall, who was a new face last year after
transferring from junior college, now finds himself in a leadership role. The
team welcomes a solid recruiting class featuring seven newcomers, including
prized prospect Fred Van Vleet to run the point. Vleet, a first-team all-state
high school player in Illinois, will ditch the training wheels from the outset
as the Shockers try to replace five seniors who combined to average 57.2 ppg.
EVANSVILLE: The Purple Aces have been a regular postseason participant the
past few seasons, although early exits have been a common theme. If they hope
to change that and advance deep into the postseason this spring, senior Colt
Ryan will have something to say about it. The first-team All-MVC guard
finished last season as the No. 11 scorer in the nation with 20.2 ppg. Ryan
scored 30 points or more on four occasions a year ago, and if anybody can
challenge McDermott for MVC Player of the Year honors, it's him. Of course,
Ryan will need some help from his supporting cast, and Evansville is fortunate
to return 11 letterwinners. Seniors Troy Taylor, Lewis Jones and Ned Cox (9.2
ppg) will be counted on for leadership, and production. Sophomore forward Ryan
Sawvell, who averaged 6.2 points and 4.0 rebounds as a freshman last year,
will also need to step up his game. If he does, the Purple Aces could
surprise some folks in the MVC this season.
DRAKE: Rayvonte Rice, who averaged 16.5 points and 5.7 rebounds last season,
decided to transfer to Illinois in April. His departure leaves a major void
for an offensively-limited team that finished 9-9 in league play in 2011-12.
Still, four other starters return for coach Mark Phelps, who has won more
games in his first four seasons than any coach in school history. On the
floor, it all starts with senior forward Ben Simons, a Second-Team All-MVC
selection. Simons enters the season as the MVC's third-leading scorer (16.0
ppg) and shot 42.5 percent from beyond the arc a year ago. But with Rice no
longer around, he'll need to shoulder even more of the scoring load despite
defenses keying heavily on him. Jordan Clarke, who started a team-high 32
games last season, returns to roam the paint after averaging 6.0 points and a
team-best 7.0 rebounds. Freshman Kori Babineaux, a 6-4 shooting guard and a
dynamic high school scorer, could see significant minutes early on. Babineaux
is one of seven newcomers on the roster.
INDIANA STATE: After finishing 8-10 in the conference in 2011-12, the
Sycamores must replace four starters. Despite the high rate of turnover, the
team could still find itself in contention with a healthy Jake Odum, who is
coming off a second-team All-MVC campaign. The junior do-it-all guard averaged
10.9 points, 5.8 rebounds and 4.9 assists last year as a sophomore despite
battling plantar fasciitis throughout the season. Odum's biggest area of
improvement is in the turnover department, as he averaged 3.0 per game last
year. Even if Odum does a much better job taking care of the basketball, coach
Greg Lansing knows he'll need to find some production elsewhere, considering
the Sycamores weren't exactly the most potent offensive squad in 2011-12. One
player who could emerge is forward Jake Kitchell, who impressed in limited
minutes as a freshman. Wanting to beef up ISU's post presence, coach Lansing
added freshmen forwards T.J. Bell and Rhett Smith to add some needed depth. If
the youngsters on the roster prove up to the challenge, the Sycamores could
climb above .500 in league play.
MISSOURI STATE: Coach Paul Lusk's first season at Missouri State yielded a
.500 record, and the Bears look to have their work cut out for them to improve
upon last year's win total. Top scorers Kyle Weems and Caleb Patterson were
lost to graduation, while Jarmar Gulley is expected to miss his senior season
after tearing an ACL during a summer league game. That's three of the team's
four double-digit scorers from 2011-12 who are no longer available. The lone
returning starter from that squad is guard Anthony Downing, the Bears' top
returning scorer (11.5 ppg) and lone active senior on the roster. However,
with underclassmen surrounding him, Downing will also be counted on to fill an
all-important leadership role. Nathan Scheer and Keith Pickens were both spot
starters a year ago, although neither averaged better than five points.
Freshman Gavin Thurman, a 6-6 forward, will likely be a regular in the
frontcourt rotation. Thurman, who starred on a 6A state title squad in
Wichita, impressed during the team's exhibition trip to Costa Rica.
BRADLEY: The Braves hope that after last year's 7-25 season, they have
nowhere to go but up. The good news is all but one starter returns, and that
familiarity alone could lead to a few more wins. Second-year head coach Geno
Ford also now has a season under his belt, which means he has seen tendencies
and experienced the atmosphere at arenas throughout the MVC. Now, it's up to
Ford to make the necessary adjustments in year two. He'll certainly need to,
as the rotation is largely unchanged. At the end of the day, he and the Braves
will still lean on senior Dyricus Simms-Edwards and junior Walt Lemon, Jr. for
leadership. Simms-Edwards, the team's active career scoring leader, took a
boatload of shots last season but made only 35 percent of his attempts from
the floor. That led to a trend that saw Simms-Edwards often follow up big
games with one or two quiet scoring nights. Lemon, Jr. is the top returning
scorer from last year, while sixth-year senior Will Egolf is trying to come
back from a second torn ACL.
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS: New head coach Barry Hinson previously helped turn
Missouri State's program around, and now he is tasked with doing the same for
the Salukis, who are coming off an 8-23 season. SIU's trip to the Sweet 16 in
2007 seems like a distant memory, as four of the last five seasons have seen
the team finish at .500 or below in conference play. The good news for Hinson
is that four starters return, although none of those four averaged double
figures last season. Forward Dantiel Daniels, who led the MVC in blocks per
game (1.6) last year as a freshman, is the headliner. Daniels averaged a
respectable 8.3 points and 4.9 rebounds, and while his offensive numbers could
stand to improve, Hinson really needs Daniels to deliver at the defensive end,
where the Salukis were exposed in 2011-12. With top scorer and rebounder
Mamadou Seck lost to graduation, SIU will also need more production from
veterans Jeff Early (8.6 ppg), Kendal Brown-Surles (8.0 ppg) and T.J. Lindsay
(7.1 ppg).
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