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USA TODAY movie critic Claudia Puig predicts who will and should winGolden Globe awards from among the nominees at the 71st annual show(NBC, Sunday, 8 p.m. ET/5 p.m. PT), to be hosted by Tina Fey and AmyPoehler at the Beverly Hilton Hotel in Beverly Hills.

Motion picture, drama

12 Years a Slave

Captain Phillips

Gravity

Philomena

Rush

Will win/should win: 12 Years a Slave

Givenhow profoundly moving and impeccably acted this film is - and thegravity of its subject matter - it likely will edge out its toughestcompetition, Gravity. It's a beautifully rendered film aboutthe ugliest period in American history. With its blend ofuncompromising authenticity and tempered sense of uplift, 12 Years is the clear-cut choice for best drama.

Motion picture, musical or comedy

American Hustle

Her

Inside Llewyn Davis

Nebraska

The Wolf of Wall Street

Will win: American Hustle

Should win: Nebraska

Neither of these movies are comedies in any traditional sense, but both have darkly comic elements. While Hustle is an entertaining tale with engaging performances, Nebraska is a masterful blend of wit and drama with superb performances, gorgeous cinematography and a pitch-perfect screenplay.

Actress in a motion picture, drama

Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine

Sandra Bullock, Gravity

Judi Dench, Philomena

Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks

Kate Winslet, Labor Day

Will win/should win: Blanchett

The early momentum has been with Blanchett and her latter-day Blanche DuBoisin Woody Allen's latest film The groundswell is intact, though SavingMr. Banks' Thompson is a formidable competitor Still, the deluded,tragic and shockingly self-asorbed Jasmine is the juiciest of roles, andBlanchett plays it fabulously.

Actor in a motion picture, drama

Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave

Idris Elba, Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom

Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips

Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club

Robert Redford, All Is Lost

Will win/should win: Redford

Redford''sessentially silent performance as a solo sailor is his best in decadesand the most captivating in a very competitive category. What theveteran actor is able to convey about his beleaguered character withgestures, facial expressions and physicality is staggering. He's aniconic movie star, which is something the Hollywood Foreign Press Association likes to honor. This will likely be the most closely contested category.

Actress in a motion picture, musical or comedy

Amy Adams, American Hustle

Julie Delpy, Before Midnight

Greta Gerwig, Frances Ha

Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Enough Said

Meryl Streep, August: Osage County

Will win: Streep

Should win: Louis-Dreyfus

Streepis a perennial awards winner and the most admired actress in America,so she's almost always at the head of the pack of nominees. But hers is ascenery-chewing role that, while riveting, lacks subtlety.Louis-Dreyfus' believable, multilayered performance in Enough Said digs deeper and conveys humor, wistfulness, charm, awkwardness and regret.

Actor in a motion picture, musical or comedy

Christian Bale, American Hustle

Bruce Dern, Nebraska

Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street

Oscar Isaac, Inside Llewyn Davis

Joaquin Phoenix, Her

Will win: DiCaprio

Should win: Dern

TheHFPA is notorious for choosing razzle-dazzle over substance andmovie-star turns over character studies, so DiCaprio is the obviouschoice for his entertaining and occasionally clownish portrayal of aWall Street weasel defined by excess and entitled lawlessness.DiCaprio's character quickly fades from memory, however. Dern's grizzledcurmudgeon is haunting, complex and raw, never caricatured orpredictable - and leaves an indelible impression.

Supporting actress in a motion picture

Sally Hawkins, Blue Jasmine

Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle

Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years a Slave

Julia Roberts, August; Osage County

June Squibb, Nebraska

Will win: Lawrence

Should win: Nyong'o

Withher seemingly boundless vivacity and natural charm, the prodigiouslytalented Lawrence is a barrel of fun at awards ceremonies. And her rolein American Hustle capitalized on that lively appeal. But the more multilayered performance is that of Nyong'o in 12 Years a Slave.The Kenyan actress makes an astonishingly powerful impression asPatsey, a young slave preyed upon and abused by a cruel alcoholic slaveowner. It is a memorable and deeply moving portrayal.

Supporting actor in a motion picture

Bradley Cooper,American Hustle

Michael Fassbender,12 Years a Slave

Jared Leto,Dallas Buyers Club

Daniel Brühl,Rush

Barkhad Abdi,Captain Phillips

Will win/should win: Leto

Leto disappears into the role of Rayon, the vulnerable HIV-positive transsexual in Dallas Buyers Club,but his was no mere physical transformation. The actor created amultidimensional portrait that nearly stole the film, despite MatthewMcConaughey's powerful lead performance. It's the kind of role awardswere made for.

Director, motion picture

Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity

Paul Greengrass, Captain Phillips

Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave

Alexander Payne, Nebraska

David O. Russell, American Hustle

Will win/should win: Cuarón

Thebreathtaking technical achievements of Cuarón in his dazzling 3-D spaceadventure make him the clear-cut favorite. Directing a film in which apair of astronauts look so convincingly, dizzyingly adrift in outerspace is a spectacular feat. A visionary filmmaker, Cuarón probablydeserves the award for the 12-minute opening action sequence alone. Buteverything that comes after induces a sense of wonderment rarelyexperienced in films.

Animated feature film

The Croods

Despicable Me 2

Frozen

Will win/should win: Frozen

In addition to its spectacular box office success, Frozen, atale of princess sisters in an icy world, has gorgeous visuals,charming humor and remarkably catchy songs to recommend it. It wasn't agreat year for animation until Frozen swirled into theaters in November, and it will win the trophy, mittened hands down.

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