LITTLE ROCK, Ark. — Over the last few days, the environment has continued to look favorable for the development of strong to severe storms across the Mid-South for Sunday evening into Monday morning.
A warm front lifted north through the state Saturday afternoon, ushering in warm, moist air for this weekend. All severe weather ingredients such as wind shear, moisture and instability are in place to help fuel the development of these storms, especially in northern Arkansas into central Missouri.
A strong cold front will approach from the northwest by Sunday evening. Along the front, a line of thunderstorms will begin to develop as it moves southeastward overnight into early Monday morning.
All severe weather hazards are possible, but the primary hazards will be damaging winds and large hail. A brief spin-up tornado can’t be ruled out. Northwest Arkansas and portions of North Central Arkansas have a higher possibility of seeing strong tornadoes, as discreet supercell storms are likely to develop ahead of the front Sunday evening.
As the line of storms moves southeast into central Arkansas they should begin to weaken. A low risk for severe weather exists into parts of central Arkansas through early Monday. Below is an estimated timeline of the severe weather as well as what radar could look like:
Behind this front expect cooler and drier conditions to build in to start the work week, with another round of wet weather likely by mid-week.
With this being a mainly overnight event, make sure to have several means of receiving weather alerts, and make sure to download our THV11 app for severe weather alerts and latest weather updates. You can send us your weather reports at 501-376-1111.